Is it disarray or an unusual series of bad events for Trump. Can the chaos be fixed? Are the leaks and infighting a bigger story? Will GOP senate and congress revolt? Whataboutism tactic in Russian politics making comps to what happens in the west to deflect criticism. Scenarios 2 (death spiral), 7 (flailing), 8 (consumed by scandal) and 12 (resistance from within) from this list ought to be considered more likely than the others https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/14-versions-of-trumps-presidency-from-maga-to-impeachment/
Puzder has dropped out from being Labor secretary. A proponent of kiosks. Is this a symbol that the resistance is working? Perhaps not -- he is perceieved by the GOP as soft on immigration.
"Success can be a catalyst for failure", Greg McKeon. Shift of focus on why one is doing something to what that something brings them. Success can bring perfectionism and paralysis. Do successful people (what is that?) fail because they stop being students? Leadership and delegation. Not a great piece. Avoid medium for self-help perhaps?
Chrome becomes the number one browser with 57% of the market. IE was the largest until August of 2015. Firefox at 12%
No other solution that military intervention is seen as a solution to the conflict in Afghanistan. The surge may have not been the lone causal factor, but Sunni's joining to fight Al-Quiada in Iraq (later ISIS). The strategy is based on flawed assumptions. Afghanistan is not a threat to the US.
The PM Milo Djukanovic discovered an coup attempt which had the goal of installing an anti-NATO and anti-EU government. Claims of Russian interference in 2013 and 2016. 2013 unconfirmed reports that Russia offered the government money for naval bases to access the Mediterrean Sea. 2016 may have been organized crime rather than Russian interference.
Ten habits that change boys into men -- this is a medium blog which tend to be intriguing with unreliable and/or questionable insights. This reads like and article from the men's movement. Contains the claim that too many men remain boys which is questionable and has an implicit definition of maniliness. Manliness has an implicit test whereas girls becoming women is merely a matter of maturation. Unsourced stats about the struggles of boys are provided. This articles is a listicle of ten items.
think beyond yourself which appears to be a good list of health attitudes toward daily living. It discourages feeling of superiority, exaggeration, expecting praise, empathy, distain, know-it-all-ism, and difficulty with healthy relationships (undefined).
stop playing video games This section seems biased by the authors own negative experience with videogames and videogame addiction that lead to issues in his marriage.
learning in healthy environments and no medication chiefly about boys methods of learning and over medication. Questionable section.
get intense exercise from my own experience this is true but I wonder about the benefits. I feel better after one year of exercise but exercise has not been the panacea that it is touted to be. I suspect that this may be specific to me.
set high standards ambitions? positive visualization? No sources and I recall claims that run counter to this, that is visualizing success tends to be demotivational.
prayer, meditation, journaling focuses on prayer which reveal a bias of the author, who may be a member of the Christian men's movement
earn good friends No information in this section other than the advice to take chances.
commit fully to somone Monogamy bias, I am partial to this assertion, but I still have my doubts that any one person can fufil more than approximately 3/4 of my emotional/intellectual/physical needs.
The DAO from Slock.it crashed and burned harming the Ethereum ecosystem for months. People and developers are still enamoured with the idea of a DAO but are re-branding or dismissing that the concept can ever be implemented securely. Namely, that humans are a necessary part of any organization.
Palatir is a private intelligence firm run by Peter Thiel. Intelligence community helped build Palantir's software. Possible use of Android handsets to track targets. Seems less sinister if one considers the software a nice instance of data mining and search of open source intelligence.
Rumored to not count re-exports as exports which would exaggerate the trade deficit. Political independents are becoming more favorably disposed toward the ACA.
A book review of After Piketty ed Heather Boushey. Piketty proposed a global tax on financial transactions and assers that returns on capital grow faster than the economy. Branko Milanovic capital needs to be redistributed, not just income. Shapiro - Piketty's arguments in Capital are not race neutral. Universal Basic Income may be one solution to inequality Phillipe Van Parijis and Yannick Vanderborght published Basic Income. Basic income is not just a tool for inequality but a tool to increase freedom there is a political philosophy for UBI. Keithe Payne in Broken Ladder asserts that it is not the amount of money one has but how one feels about it. Poverty leads to bad decisions and instability, but so does feeling deprived even if one is not empirically poor. What about compressing the top of the social ladder? Schiedel in the The Great Leveler inequality is proposed to be preferrable to levelling a society via vast upheavals.
The AHCA ceded the ground of health care coverage as a right to all Americans. The Freedom caucus and Libertarian-ish Republicans appear to wish for a return to the rules pre-ACA. Has the ACA set the table for all future health provisions directed via the American government? Trump only one of a handful of 20th century presidets to take office while their party lost representatives in congress (Kennedy, Clinton, Bush the others).
Based off of a single AP report from April 1st (ha!). Officials want more raw intelligence instead of briefing which seems misguided and informed by a lack of experience -- evaluating raw intelligence is difficult. H.R. McMaster receives pushback from Flynn appointees. Ezra Cohen-Watnick was due to be replaced but appealed to WH and remains on. Ezra Cohen-Watnick is thought to be the one who leaked documents to Devin Nunez, buy denies the claim.
Outlines the six avenues of opposition against Trump. The framework of the article is appealing because the levels of opposition are general enough to be extended to any President from the past. The six opposition blocks are the public, the bureaucracy, congress members of the party of the president, members of the opposition party in congress, and the judiciary. Executive order (Muslim ban) has level 6 opposition, Russia level 5 (no judiciary), AHCA level 4 (no judiciary, no media -- which is questionable, or is it bureaucracy too, CBO was not favorable).
Incentives can produce externalities (i.e., bitcoin mining farms) but people run bitcoin validators with no incentives. Claim: PoS can work without incentives. Ethereum dev team start with the notion of incentives. Vitalik: no incentives then lazy, Zamfir sees a majority of people are honest assumption as a weakness, Emin Gun Sirer needs empirical evidence. Evidence cited BitTorrent (but are there implicit incentives where value is propigated through the net work, reputational incentives), folding@home is run unincentivized but the product has little value outside its creators and there is an intrsinc incentive of charity.
Points out the complexity surrounding the media heuristic of filter bubbles. Most polarized age group are those 75+ who do not use social media. 19-39 group as partisan as 1996 in 2012. TV still the driver of most news consumption. Are age trends within groups obscrured? Are the traditional media more influenced by filter bubbles than the general public?
A truly bizarre piece. I was hoping for instances of the left using arguments that would be persuasive to the religious and quasi-religious right. Cites a NYT piece that absurdly puts Paul Ryan in a dialogue with Jesus. Advances the argument that a founding princile was for religious institutions to provide the social safety net -- voluntarily. Bizarre ranting about heretical theocracy of the left.
Satoshi made the breakthrough of combining an aspect of crypto (proving aspects of messages from the past) and economic incentives to create crypto-economics (Vlad Zamfir). Buterin's belief that this is is key and downplays the issue of externalities raised in the article from Apr-4 "Incentives in the Blockchain".
Very long piece. Recalls the movie "Black Legion" (Bogart). Relationship between the right's voters and their representatives. MLM scams. Rejection of immigration. The failure of the Buckley project.
Google Books was a promising project that was very active in the early part of this decade. Kafka quote, " book must be the axe for the frozen sea inside us." (Letters to Friends, Family, and Editors) date Jan 27, 1904. The project was bogged down in legal trouble over books with orphaned copyright which are books that are out of print but remain under copyright. Google won the legal battle at the US Supreme court. But is Google, a corporation, the best entity to trust the digitizing of orphan (or otherwise) work -- ther is the Digital Public Library of America https://dp.la/info/ with an API. Interesting 2012 book Mr. Penumbra’s 24-Hour Bookstore by Robin Sloan is mentioned. If Google can't open Google Books to readers -- what about machines?
Begins with Fitzgerald's idea that a capable mind can hold two contradictory view at once, but only for a short period of time. Conservatism contains both classical liberalism and reactionary views. "
The reactionary tendency, by contrast, sees a strong executive as the only viable weapon against managerialism. This analysis has become a central feature of the theoretical case for Donald Trump."
Critical of the Pareto principle which states that an economic policy that benefits one group does not affect other groups. Relative inequality is an issue because of competition for scarce resources mates (income matching and real estate) but not consumer goods. Relative inequality ties into risk taking behavior (Daly & Daly). Wealthy, despite receving disproportionate after tax gains, express unhappiness because of the relative tax burden (makers versus takers and Romney's 47% comment). Sorting exacerbates the feeling of having to carry those who do not pay the same share of the tax burden.
Thriving communities have progressed because of bottom-up strategies where local assests have stepped in to fill the negligence of State and Federal governance. HIV rates are 5% (comparable to hard hit regions in Africa) due to the opioid epidemic. Dov Seidman - "trust is the only legal performance-enhancing drug."
Discussion with Hugo Drochon about Nietzsche's "God is dead." and the disappearance of the trancendent as a justification for morals. The rise of political religions -- fascism, communism, and liberal humanism (in Harari's sense).
This was co-incident with the first price rise in ETH.
-A guidebook to reading sensitively sourced news. The signs to look for are: -multiple sources -unverifiable predictions that can serve an anon source's interests and have no cost -specific information about the source (e.g., admin official versus Justice Dept offical) -consider the outlet (reputation cost) and reporter (does the reporter have a track record and history) -vague denials of the source's assertions
When asked why he practiced zen, the student said, “Because I intend to become a Buddha.” His teacher picked up a brick and started polishing it. The student asked “What are you doing?” The teacher replied, “I am trying to make a mirror.” “How can you make a mirror by polishing a brick?” “How can you become Buddha by doing zazen? If you understand sitting Zen, you will know that Zen is not about sitting or lying down. If you want to learn sitting Buddha, know that sitting Buddha is without any fixed form. Do not use discrimination in the non-abiding dharma. If you practice sitting as Buddha, you must kill Buddha. If you are attached to the sitting form, you are not yet mastering the essential principle.” The student heard this admonition and felt as if he had tasted sweet nectar. — Dōgen Zenji
Dizang asked Xiushan, “Where do you come from?” Xiushan said, “From the South.” Dizang said, “How is Buddhism in the South these days?” Xiushan said, “There is extensive discussion”” Dizang said, “How can that compare to me here planting the fields and making rice to eat?” Xiushan said, “What can you do about the world?” Dizang said, “What do you call the world?” — Book of Serenity
Putname wrote a book Bowling Alone in 2000. Seventeen years on, with even more isolating tech, the thesis of declining community stands. Thesis: Trumpism is the manifestation of conservatism in a lonely society. Alexis de Tocqueville marveled at American's tendency to form voluntary associations.
New ideas tend to be fun to play with; sometimes the play turns into rough-housing. The subject of the article envisions a dystopian future where governments exhert control via digital currency to impose an onerous regime of taxation and regulation.
Is the use of animals in art tantamount to merely bad art? Does the reaction that were provoked by the show demonstrate that the art is doing its work to stimulate and engage uncomfortable ideas? The context, that this art was made, sometimes clandestinely, in China matter?
A hybrid model that both is more capitalistic and more socialistic than our current economy -- what does this mean? Universal Basic Income. Capitalism as we now understand it requires a coincidence of labor and consumption. Requires private goods taxed for the public good. Move to the one-off economy where people are doing things that have never been done before and can not be automated. Science, tech, and economics have embedded growth within their functions.
Intelligence is contextutal. A human raised by monkies does not exhibit human language human behavior. An octopus intelligence is situated in the context of being an octopus. Q: What is the sensorium of an generalized AI, how generalized can it be? The corpus of an AI is the internet or all networked IT.
The vision screen stuff is what it is -- there several similar competing systems. Full disclosure: I've worked (on basic research, not applications) with the team behind a similar test.
"Laby has completed an unpublished study for baseball — correlating success with longer durations of quiet eye."
This is more interesting, 'quiet eye', I believe, refers to what are known in the jargon as 'micro-saccades' which can be measured, show individual variation, and can affect visual performance. Micro-saccade variation test could be another screening tool for ball players. Despite how the article reads -- I am skeptical that they could be trained in a way that would result in measurable performance improvement for baseball players, especially major-leaguers. Canada is home to one of the leading eye-tracking companies SR-Research. The Blue Jays really ought to get in touch, if they haven't already.